环境规制对碳排放强度的影响研究——基于绿色税收视角的考察
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

基金项目:

国家社会科学基金西部项目“世界级清洁能源走廊市场化多元化对口协作发展机制创新研究”(24XJL005)。


Research on the Impact of Environmental Regulation on Carbon Emission Intensity —Investigation from the Perspective of Green
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    本文以2007—2022年中国30个省(自治区、直辖市)的平衡面板数据为研究样本(不含西藏及港澳台地区),基于绿色税收视角系统考察环境规制对碳排放强度的影响机制。研究将产业升级、绿色技术创新与能源低碳化指数纳入分析框架,构建理论模型与实证检验体系,深入探究绿色税收政策作用于碳排放强度的传导路径。实证结果显示:其一,通过双向固定效应模型回归发现,绿色税收对降低区域碳排放强度具有显著的正向效应;进一步借助中介效应模型检验表明,这种减排效应主要通过三条间接路径实现,即促进产业结构向低碳化转型、激励绿色技术研发与应用,以及提升能源低碳化指数水平。其二,区域异质性分析揭示,绿色税收的减排效果存在显著的空间差异:在部分区域存在负向且显著的影响;在南部沿海、大西北、东北地区存在负向但不显著的影响;在东部沿海、长江中游地区存在正向影响。其三,时间异质性分析表明,以2018年为界,后期绿色税收的减排效果较前期更为显著。这与2018年实施环境保护税、绿色税制完善、政策执行力提升及市场主体适应能力增强密切相关。

    Abstract:

    This article takes the balanced panel data of 30 provinces (cities, autonomous regions) in China from 2007 to 2022 as the research sample(excluding Xizang, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan regions.), and systematically examines the impact mechanism of environmental regulations on carbon emission intensity from the perspective of green tax. The study incorporates industrial upgrading, green technology innovation, and low-carbon energy index into the analysis framework, constructs theoretical models and empirical testing systems, and deeply explores the transmission path of green tax policies on carbon emission intensity. The empirical results show that: firstly, through a two-way fixed effects model regression, it was found that green tax has a significant positive effect on reducing regional carbon emission intensity. Further testing with the mediation effect model shows that this emission reduction effect is mainly achieved through three indirect paths, namely promoting the transformation of industrial structure towards low-carbon, incentivizing the research and application of green technologies, and enhancing the low-carbon level of energy consumption structure. Secondly, regional heterogeneity analysis reveals significant spatial differences in the emission reduction effects of green tax, with negative and significant impacts in some regions. There is a negative but not significant impact in the southern coastal, northwestern, and northeastern regions. There is a positive impact in the eastern coastal areas and the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. Thirdly, time heterogeneity analysis shows that, taking 2018 as the boundary, the emission reduction effect of green tax in the later stage is more significant than that in the earlier stage, which is closely related to the implementation of environmental protection tax, the improvement of green tax system, the enhancement of policy execution ability, and the strengthening of market entities’ adaptability in 2018.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

李碧宏,黄文文.环境规制对碳排放强度的影响研究——基于绿色税收视角的考察[J].重庆师范大学学报社会科学版,2025,(6):107-121

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-02-02