数智技术对跨境电商仓单质押融资博弈的影响
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F830; G202

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重庆师范大学博士启动项目“制造商与电商平台的分销渠道竞合博弈”(22XWB004);重庆市教委科技研究项目“跨境电商供应链整合区块链技术下的仓单质押融资决策”(KJQN202100541)。


经济管理研究
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    摘要:

    数智技术与跨境贸易的深度融合,为银行开展供应链融资风控提供了新手段,但技术投入在何种条件下可以扩大信贷投放、管控不良风险、提升融资收益,仍是银行业从业者重点关注的现实问题。本文聚焦跨境电商仓单质押融资业务场景,构建了银行与跨境电商卖家的两阶段Stackelberg博弈模型,通过数理推导与数值仿真,分析了银行的数智技术投入对贷款利率、卖家定价、融资规模及银企双方利润的影响机制,识别了数智技术产生实际价值的约束条件。研究发现,银行加大数智技术投入能够降低信贷风险,促使贷款利率下降,帮助跨境电商卖家获得定价优势,拉动海外市场需求,推动融资规模扩张;数智技术红利在银行和卖家之间的分配并不对等,卖家在无需承担技术投入成本的情况下,收益随技术能力提升持续增加,而银行则需权衡技术投入成本与风险改善效果,收益变化更为复杂;此外,数智技术的价值发挥还依赖特定条件,只有技术成本低于临界水平、卖家违约风险处于合理范围,银行增加数智技术投入才具备经济可行性,否则加大技术投入反而会挤压自身的利润空间。本文剖析了数智技术作用于跨境电商供应链金融的微观传导过程,丰富了数字金融信贷传导理论的应用场景,解释了银行数智技术投入差异的内在原因。研究结果可为不同银行制定差异化的数智技术投入方案和跨境电商卖家获取融资支持提供决策参考,促进跨境电商供应链融资生态的健康发展。

    Abstract:

    The in-depth integration of digital-intelligent technology and cross-border trade has provided new tools for banks to conduct risk control in supply chain financing. Nevertheless, it remains a practical concern for banking practitioners under what conditions technological investment can expand credit supply, control non-performing risks and improve financing returns. Focusing on the business scenario of warehouse receipt pledge financing for cross-border e-commerce, this paper constructs a two-stage Stackelberg game model between banks and cross-border e-commerce sellers. Through mathematical derivation and numerical simulation, it analyzes the influence mechanism of banks’ digital-intelligent technology investment on loan interest rates, sellers’ pricing, financing scale and the profits of both banks and enterprises, and identifies the constraints for digital-intelligent technology to generate practical value. The results show that increased investment in digital-intelligent technology by banks can reduce credit risks, drive down loan interest rates, help cross-border e-commerce sellers gain pricing advantages, boost overseas market demand and expand financing scale. The dividends brought by digital-intelligent technology are distributed unequally between banks and sellers. Without bearing the cost of technological investment, sellers’ benefits keep rising with the improvement of technological capabilities, whereas banks have to trade off technological investment costs against risk-reduction effects, leading to more complicated profit changes. Furthermore, the value of digital-intelligent technology is subject to specific prerequisites. Additional investment in digital-intelligent technology is economically feasible for banks only when technological costs stay below a critical threshold and sellers’ default risks remain within a reasonable range; otherwise, increased technological investment will squeeze banks’ profit margins. This paper dissects the micro-transmission mechanism through which digital-intelligent technology acts on cross-border e-commerce supply chain finance, enriches application scenarios for the transmission theory of digital financial credit, and explains the underlying reasons for differences in banks’ digital-intelligent technology investment. The findings can serve as decision-making references for banks to formulate differentiated digital-intelligent technology investment schemes and for cross-border e-commerce sellers to obtain financing support, so as to foster the sound development of the cross-border e-commerce supply-chain financing ecosystem.

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夏德建.数智技术对跨境电商仓单质押融资博弈的影响[J].重庆师范大学学报社会科学版,2026,(4):103-119

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-17
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